Nathanael Harwood

Nathanael Harwood

Profile Display Name:
Nathanael Harwood
E-mail Address:
Start Year

2015 (Cohort 2)

Research interests:
Hobbies and interests:

PhD Project
PhD Title
A rise in the frequency of extreme weather in response to Arctic amplification and its implications for European decision-making
Research Theme
Past Life and Environments
Primary Supervisor

Andrew Russell

Primary Institution
Secondary Supervisor

Ilan Kelman

Secondary Institution

The question of whether recent extreme weather can be robustly linked to anthropogenic climate change and changes in the Arctic in particular is complex and unresolved. A mechanism of jet stream destabilisation has often been invoked to support the idea of a link between Arctic warming and persistent weather at midlatitudes in the Northern Hemisphere. This project examines links between Arctic changes and Eurasian extreme weather using a novel Bayesian Network approach to examine the past and projected rise in extreme weather events. Recent extreme events like the 2013/2014 North American Cold Wave and record UK flooding in the winters of 2013 and 2015 have heightened public interest in this area of climate research. Projected scenarios of extreme weather will be considered in a policy context with a focus on the communication of results to the public and to decision-makers, and the role of uncertainty in findings will be central to this process.

Policy Impact
Background Reading


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