Temporal and spatial strain accumulation within the Italian Apennines from modelling and laboratory experiments

This project is available from the academic year 2019/20 onwards.

Theme: Natural & Biological Hazards

Primary Supervisor:

Joanna Faure Walker

Mathematics, UCL

Joanna Faure Walker's Profile Picture

Secondary Supervisor:

Peter Sammonds

Earth Sciences, UCL

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Additional Supervisor(s):

Project Description:

The seismically active Italian Apennine Mountains have experienced many devastating earthquakes, such as the 2009 L’Aquila earthquake. Many years of field observations, GPS and satellite remote sensing have produced a detailed map of slip of earthquake faults and of crustal strain.

In order to understand possible discrepancies between short-term and long-term rates of strain accumulation and how these relate to seismic hazard, it is important to understand (1) how strain accumulates with distance away from the active faults and within different rock types and, (2) how strain accumulation rates change between earthquakes.

In fracture mechanics terms, earthquake rupture occurs when the imposed stress intensity exceeds the local resistance to shear rupture propagation in the crust. The amount of coseismic slip that occurs will be dependent on the strain deficit that has accumulated on the fault and the 3D geometry of the fault. Strain is a key fracture mechanics scaling parameter.

Policy Impact of Research:

Through the UCL Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction, the research will provide direct input into seismic hazard assessment in collaboration with partners at the Italian environmental protection agencies (ISPRA and the INGV) and inform government policy-making on earthquake hazard.


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